HI all,
1st up - I have no system yet, but try to absorb all I can from this forum since quite a while now.
I hope to be close to start building my first test and trial system soon, but frankly I am in no hurry - sooo much to learn!
My system plans are still changing on a regular basis...
I"ll be happy to just get a home-system running and producing a load of good stuff for family consumption only - however the plan (....or better "dream") is, to develop a commercial system for retirement. So the home-system will be rather detailed and elaborate as I want to try out ALL and everything that comes to mind - specifically with commercial production in mind.
So - how do I see the commercial possibilities?
a] Besides being a home-system for fun - I also see my home system as a investment for the commercial start-up, a investment that I am willing to write off, should my market study turn out negative.
(....I am mechanical/technical person and have yet to succeed to raise anything in the backyard - dirt or water or rock based.....)
b] So - assuming I get past point a (.....and be able to put a head of lettuce and tomatoes on the table every day....) - next step will be a detailed market study.
I would call it an "active" study - using produce from the home system to demonstrate/sample my initial market targets....if they like my product and are willing to spend the dime on it - then I start on the commercial unit.
What I feel/understand from this thread is, that Damian tries to find confirmation for what he "wishes to be true" - though I feel, much is wishful thinking.
e.g. It seems Damian would prefer FISH to be the primary product.
If I am not totally mistaken - it takes a LOT of greenery to support a decent (commercial) amount of fish.
Generally I understand fish is basically a TOOL not a product in general aquaponics.
True - from a certain size on, one should be able to market fish too, but then it still will be a small by-sell in relation to the plant production.
Now - how big is the "gap/black hole/chasm"?
I would say - "depends"....on a LOT of variables - you won't be able to come up with a 1-fits-all formula...
country, climate, taxes, wages, regs, market
No doubt - Ryan is in a prime spot - okay climate and - for all purposes - a limitless market, BUT what about wages? If his personnel requirements rise to fast, he might get in trouble!
In my corner - minimum wage is still rather low.
Then - I have NO idea (yet) if there even IS a market for high price product?
[Certainly there are clients willing to pay - but is the number of clients above the critical value?
If I need a 100 customers to become profitable but I only can muster 38 - .....not going to work!]
Barbados has only 1/10 the population of the country I live in - how many are potential clients?
There is numbers floating around of 1000m2, gap, 8000 m2, ??
Does that mean, if you cannot go minimum to 8000 you won't make it because you are in the gap?
If you cannot sell 8000, then your gap just got too big?
WHAT defines the size of the gap??
(Too many variables to have one fixed size...)
I am sure the gap in the US is a different size than in Oz or Panama or Barbados....or UK
So maybe - you cannot afford to do just one or 2 products - if you need a certain size to be profitable, but you have a limited market size - well, then you need to come up with more products!
If you are not in favor of veggies as your primary product - you want fish, which means your "Filter plants" need to be a rather huge area, WHAT do you want to plant (now the plants become the TOOL)?
Would you be allowed to raise cattle on Barbados? HOW many head could you sell at the most?
Would that be enough to need enough GREEN FORAGE to use that as your plant tool?
You see, Damian - this discussion is to a great part philosophical at best.....
You won't get around to develop a basic business plan, SPECIFIC for your case.
Now if you ask the forum for their input for your specific case - you might get some REAL advice!
However - once you decide to pull through on a commercial level, you would be very well advised to HAVE DONE your homework - either take others experience as a given or TEST your ideas before you spend the money for the commercial unit!
[E.g. in my AP-inexperienced mind I envision to run my system without a dedicated air supply. Use venturi, splash and flood/drain for aeration. Air would be for FT-emergency only. Can I pull this off?
My home system will be the test facility.
- which also means, that I WILL have to install a system air-supply, just so that I can test MY alternative! Obviously it works without air too, but certainly not as well as with air - what I want to test is, can I get to the same quality level with my non-air ideas? Need to test things in parallel to have comparable data......
Ryan is showing ONE very efficient way how it can be done.
I have another idea how to get there - testing will be done in my home system]
However, no matter how much you are convinced of your idea - when you tested out that it is NOT working, you need to have the guts to quit and go with what is proven.
[E.g. your idea for the 20 ft RFF is out of this world! ...just the size makes handling anything on it quite useless - just because this is the most common well design on your island, doesn't make it the best design for a RFF!! Just looking at the basic RFF white paper everyone here knows, taking the measurements/working principle/maintenance requirements - you are WAY better off using blue barrels and make your own RFF!
You need more dwell time? - ...build another one and plumb it parallel!
Need more? - ...build another one!
Plumb 10 parallel if you must and you are still better of than with ONE of your 20 ft monster...cheaper is not always more economical/efficient...]
Or - maybe AP is NOT for you after all?!! YOU want fish - go Aquaculture and use mechanical/bio filters!
(...if you like your own salad, take of a little water from the system and do your home/private AP).....
As far as I see it - IF you want FISH at a profitable scale, the plant side of the AP system is SERIOUSLY big!
Maybe you can build an AP-Botanic Garden for Barbados - ...should be big enough to get you into the black zone with the fish!
Cheers,
thjakits
