Charlie wrote:
You mentioned the conversations between you and previous potential investors with most discussions ending the same - "your plan sounds great but get it built and show me solid numbers and were in". Its along the same lines as what Mudeye is pointing out. Marketing a 'plan' isn't really much without proof of its success. Even if it is amazingly well thought out and designed.
When searching for investors you have to talk to a lot of people to have a chance. Its a numbers game to a large degree. Remember I had got people to commit three times to contribute funds. Also if you remember one time I actually had bulldozers on site ready to the site cut the next day.
So I've come real close a number of times.
What turned me from the path I was on was not so much the feed back I'd been getting but a story told to me from a dairy guy. Most of the contacts where I got the best results were private"high net worth individuals" but by this stage I'd already talked to all the ones I had a contact with. By this time I was onto super funds, which I knew was always going to be harder. Anyway the story the dairy guy told me was of a $9mil super fund owned dairy farm that was struggling to make a profit. Among other decisions to maintain their bench mark returns they had sold off their water rights during the drought and leased out a substantial portion of their pasture production land. So they employed this consultant to advise them how to get the farm back into the black. He essentially got paid to write a long report that said "you need to let the farm managers manage the farm and follow their advice".
The farms managers had been pulling their hair out but on reading their copy of the report they got excited and prepared a plan to get the farm back on track. This would require $1mil of upgrades and would add an extra 1$mil of profit from the 1st year.
The plan was rejected. The consultant told me "that is the mentality that you are up against. The super funds are so risk adverse they won't invest even in their own assests" That was what made me change track.
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Just to state the obvious - You have announced something that we have known for years - that you want to go commercial. Im unsure what has changed. Is this thread for your own warm fuzzy feelings or just to help out with the website or to hopefully gather investors? Im not wanting that to sound negative, I just think its worth clarifying so we can comment accordingly.
Fair enough. What has changed is the approach I'm taking. For years I've avoided small scale systems because the economies of scale are truly awful but if I can't get investment funds for a large scale operation then I'll have to start small.
What's also changed is that I have a plan that will get us from small scale to large without getting stuck at 1000 to 2000m2 like almost every other commercial attempt.
Also remember that the website isn't pitched at you guys. You know AP you know what it is and what it can do. The website is more talking to people who care about food, farming and the environment but don't actually know much about the issues or the possible solutions.
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I have no doubt you have a solid plan with potential profits for a 1ha system and I want you to succeed with this venture. I would trust your experience in designing a profitable system over any of the other 'marketing' type individuals that have failed in the past but your only one person.
I do but that is not the plan I'll be working.
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A few questions run through my mind when I think about your project. I visualise the scale and 1ha is massive, Blue smart farms is .05ha and that place is enormous and it has a team of specialised employees.
I think you mean 0.5ha. Yes, and its too small. Standard advice in AQ and HP is to not go any smaller than 200t pa and 1ha, repectively, because the costs of production are too high due to the adverse economies of scale of building greenhouses/climate controlled structures. An integrated AQ and HP operation will have a lower cost of production than comparable stand alone operations but this advantage is thrown away if you then make the intergrated operation smaller than separate operations.
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Inventers, employees, designers, communication experts, foreign marketing and big investors that have decades of experience in aquaculture, agriculture, marketing, civil works and supply. It took about 10 years to get that off the ground and millions in grants and huge mergers to make it work. UES, steelco, Coles etc etc just to name a few. Thats is for comparison sake but I think you are more looking at the Aquaculture side?
Yep all important. The 1ha project included the people to do all that or the funds to get them.
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If its mainly AQ, well there is already so much of it out there. Lots of competition from vastly experienced people. People with degrees in aquaculture and many years experience on working farms. Is there need for another aquaculture facility? I see so many of them up for sale.
Yes there is. Trout production in Victoria use to be 1400t pa after the last drought it was down to 700t but now it has climbed back to 1100t. Possibly that means that there ia 300t unmet local demand (maybe not, no garuntees). It does mean that any system that can maintain production during a drought will make a killing during the next drought. There is also increasing over seas demand which I now have good contacts for. Problem is they need a pretty huge regular minimum order.
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Look at Paul van der wurth, he was a big part in the AQ part of the UES and everyone knows he's great at that component, his background is aquaculture. Would anyone trust him growing and marketing veg? No way. So yes I can respect you could design a working system, probably profitable on paper, but what about everything else? Its the everything else that brings most unstuck. Moving from growing fish and veg in your backyard to a 1ha system has countless inputs from all walks of life. Like I said, your just one person.
FOr the 1ha system it wasn't just me. I was the guy running around making it happen, or not as the case turned out

. This were funds allocated for a greenhouse manager, AQ manager, marketing, business development as well as my role of integration and innovation manager.
The AQ guy we had at the time had considered using Paul but was very unimpressed with him when he interviewed him for some of the design work. About the same time he performed a number of indiscretions here and demonstrated his lack of understanding of AP systems (his worm comment was the final straw).
I can take negative feed back, I'll either discount it or incorporate it. EBs and others comments about the website and the cooperative farm now has us working on a second site dedicated to the farm.
In many ways the website is working well based on the feed back I'm getting and how it is helping to spur things on. It still needs a lot of improvement so if people have advice please let me hear it.
It does need to be stuff I can act on though. Mudeye's comments about being willing to back myself made no sense to me hence my comments. For the last 8 years every time I've struck a brick wall I've picked myself up and found away around, over or through. I've never stopped trying to find solutions, ways to make it happen. I now feel closer than ever but until we get an operation not only up and running but in the black I'm still very just getting started.