There is approaching a billion vehicles in the world and under the current 'economist fantasy' there is expected be 2 billion+ by 2030-50.
Multiply a billion or so by say $15,000 (assuming some retro-fitting of relatively new vehicles and some outright new vehicles), add in the massive infrastructure overhaul and then contemplate the financial cost (one way or another to the already heavily debt ridden average consumer), the resource cost and the environmental cost of switching to a global electric powered vehicular system.
The financial figures are staggering to say the least, besides which, we simply don't have the resources - even if there was government or corporate will..which there isn't. I'm sure the environmental cost is obvious to most who take an interest in such things. If we'd done it decades ago (say when Jimmy Carter first got serious about doing something about 'oil addiction' in the late 70's) it would be remotely feasible...today, the opportunity has passed us by long ago. It only takes a calculator and a vague idea of the figures to realise that at this late stage, it's a case of trying to get blood from a stone and then imagining (before you even begin) that you can do so forever.
There is a company in the US working on new ceramic battery technology which will give electric cars far greater range, storage and efficiency, but it's all too little too late...think about it...a few billion ceramic batteries...endless billions of new rubber tyres...endless billion tonnes of plastic and metals...endless billion megawatts of power to build these things...all for endlessly increasing billions of people...on and on forever.
There is a lot of very clever technology appearing all the time, but none of it has the slightest relevance to the big picture.
Globally speaking, there's already too many people who all want too much and are encouraged in various ways to pursue these 'needs.' We currently have a choice of either acknowledging that fact and beginning work immediately (if not sooner!

) towards sustainable, well managed Powerdown whereby everybody (with the Western world leading) uses far less, far more sustainably, or we can continue to entertain myopic fantasies that the cult of growth and rampant blind consumerism can be maintained indefinitely when our entire resource base (not just oil) is already stretched or becoming stretched to the limit.
Soil, arable land area, silicon, copper, uranium, fresh water, seafood...choose a resource and our production levels have already 'peaked' or are rapidly approaching that point. To spend valuable time, energy and will trying to work out technological means to continue consuming at unsustainable rates (whether that be personal transport or any other 'consumption), is nothing short of ill-informed madness.
It's up to each individual to decide whether working at a governmental (political), community or individual level is the most fruitful to achieve Powerdown and Relocalisation. All other choices involve violent, organised or chaotic fascism sooner or later. A privileged few controlling remaining resources by force and the powerless multitudes submitting to their power.
It's not very pleasant to think about, but those are the cold, hard facts regarding our choices in a world of finite resources whose inhabitants invariably fail to recognise this fact.
Personally, I much prefer Powerdown and Relocalisation, but I have little faith in either government or the typical community to get their head around the problem and do something about it within the given time contraints, so I choose to prepare at the only level I do have faith in - the small, relatively isolated community where everyone is pretty much in the same boat, and at the individual level.
As I said, it's up to each individual to work out where their ability to change society stands, but please consider; holding out for a 'techno-fix' to our current situation is IMO, just as bad as blindly consuming what resources we have left -
they both amount to the same thing in the end...the endorsement of endless growth and consumption on a planet with finite resources...resources which are already over-exploited when compared to our demand for them.
Just a couple of other notes:
blueman wrote:
Ever heard of 'Oil Chokepoints'?
http://www.converger.com/eiacab/choke.htmIt is indeed possible that changing political circumstances in our world might make this term appear on the front pages of the newspapers.
for example, if there was ever a closure of the Strait of Hormuz (the worlds biggest potential oil chokepoint) - a narrow waterway in Iran - the result would be an immediate oil price hike to well over $150USD per barrel - which would translate to over $3 AUD per litre.
There would also be a very serious recession resulting from this as well.
Indeed blueman, that's why the US is currently pushing NATO to begin to
'protect' oil supplies (Click).
Of course, 'protecting' oil supplies is a short step from 'controlling' the flow of them altogether, as I'm sure many would appreciate. This revelation slipped under the radar largely, but it's of enormous consequence IMO.
And finally, for those interested in bio-fuel production at an individual or small community level,
Copaifera langsdorfii (Diesel Tree) is something to look into. ~40 litres yield per year, per tree and it needs no refinement - just filtering which can be done with no energy cost. Grows best in warmer, wetter regions, but is fairly hardy and adaptable if you can improve a temperate micro-climate or irrigate a more arid climate.
Personally, I think bio-fuel is a very poorly thought out solution at a macro (full society) level, but it does have some merit on a small scale if you use perennial multi-use species sustainably (i.e. not annual, resource intensive, single use crops). It certainly is no substitution for oil - replacing oil with annual sourced bio-fuels would require another couple of uninhabited planets.
Some links:
Farmer planning diesel tree biofuel
Copaifera langsdorfii Species Information